San Diego Real Estate Investors – This One’s For You

San Diego’s real estate values will continue their downward tilt through 2010. An opinion, but based on much data and the feeling in my right knee. Too many local investors have, with nervous smiles, pointed out the prices are slightly up year over year here. True enough. Tell ya what, why don’t ya buy several properties this summer, then we’ll talk next summer. It gets pretty quiet, sometimes uncomfortably so.

NOTE: Before continuing it’s important to understand San Diego ain’t the Lone Ranger here. There are numerous similar markets. All of SoCal and most of NoCal for example. (Think Palo Alto) :) But around the country, whatever I say here about SD is likely to have traction in many, many regions.

We’ve been culling through our database looking for income property owners who’re best positioned to effect a high quality move of their equity(s). We’ve been blessed and handicapped simultaneously by the reality of gettin’ up to speed on a brand new piece of database software. The blessing though is far outstripping the irritations of the necessary learning curve involved. It’s a killer program — the best I’ve ever seen. Anywho, we’ve been noticing a disturbing trend as it relates to new loans on investment properties.

Does this describe you? [Read more...]

These Days Simple Beats Sophisticated Hands Down

One of my favorite transactions ever involved a partial tax deferred exchange; partial installment sale; hypothecation; three states; a Mercedes convertible, and a vacant lot in the mountains east of San Diego. There were four of us involved, all more or less equally skilled, with widely different levels of experience. The Friday it closed we went out to The Charcoal House to celebrate — which was, for the record, simultaneous in nature. That is, every single property involved had to close at the same moment in time. Try that in 1984 — in three states — no cells, no ‘puters, no, well, no nothin’ back then.

A requirement of the exchange was that one of the principals had to come out with a small amount of cash, without having to pay taxes. Geez, what else guys? Ya need an albino llama to go with that cash? We did it through the wonders of hypothecation, using a note he’d carried back as part of the transaction. Problem solved — we all chanted the magic words in unison — and yea, though the light did hide itself from among us, it closed. [Read more...]

Some Much Needed PlainSpeak For Real Estate Investors

Last Thursday’s post pretty much summed up my thinkin’ about what most, not all real estate investors should now be doing. A common denominator found in the daily calls and emails I receive is the ultimate question — What should I do now, if anything?

You may be surprised, or not, to learn that much of the time my counsel is to stand pat, or almost. For the record, ‘Doing something‘ isn’t a Plan. I read everything I can about the economy and real estate in general, and have frequent conversations with those in the business for whom I hold well earned respect. Allow me some relatively unfiltered PlainSpeak today. [Read more...]

The Perfect Positive Storm For Real Estate Investors?

Beginning in 1976 or so, real estate investors, especially in markets like San Diego, the general SoCal region, much of NoCal (Palo Alto is an example), and a few other regions around the country, began to be conditioned to expect values to rise significantly over time. In fact, from 1976 through the end of 2005, their expectations were met without a single exception, long term. The cycle became not only reliable, but predictable. Appreciation, often double digits, would raise values for 3-4 years, much longer for this last one. Recession would cool things off, prices would either flatten out, maybe recede a bit. But they would always resume the seemingly inexorable march to ever higher prices. [Read more...]

Stick a Fork In Me Today

Ever wake up knowing your energy level was already nearing the redline? We all have at one time or another. Not sick, don’t have anything physical goin’ on, just drained to the max. I’ll be back tomorrow with a vengeance. :)