The Scramble For The $$$$

Several of my clients have contacted me lately to ask my opinion on the “new” options for their 403b’s. These new options are annuity based investment plans, some straight variable annuities, while others have some limited down side protection [10% in the one I saw]. This is an ongoing pattern from companies trying to capitalize on the loss of confidence of Wall Street and it’s mutual funds, which have been heavily pushed for the last 30 years. We are still seeing outputs from mutual funds in general while equity mutual funds are the heaviest hit. Trying to capture those dollars is the name of the game for all financial companies now.

I have never been a big proponent of deferred annuities. Immediate annuities have a place for folks who want to assure themselves of a certain level of income for life. But deferred annuities in my opinion are more problematic. Variable annuities have the same problem as mutual funds with the big market downturns dramatically effecting outputs. But the biggest problem with deferred annuities is that they must be backed by short and immediate term products, which will give folks lower rates of return. The indexed annuities will always have much lower cap rates than the indexed life products for this reason. With an annuity the company must be prepared to give the money back at any time and therefore must use investing strategies that allow that type of liquidity. [Read more...]

Market Timing and Equity Indexed Universal Life Insurance

I was talking to a potential client today and our discussion really stoked my thinking. I get most of my best thoughts talking to the very smart people who I do business with! He thinks that the market is going to tank and wants to wait until that point to purchase an EIUL. That would make perfect sense if we were talking about stocks or mutual funds. But an EIUL is a very different animal.

From a strategic standpoint this product is really hard to market time in general because it takes a month to process through the system and then up to two weeks to get the index leg started. With stocks and mutual funds you can purchase any time you want with little lead time and buy and sell multiple times a day if you like.

But let’s look at what advantage there is to waiting:

Example 1: You were so unlucky as to have your index leg created at a market top then what do you lose?

Well, in real terms nothing, but there are some opportunity costs.
At the end of year 1, say the market is down 50% from when you started you suffer no loss.  The index leg is done and you start a new one at the new starting point of 50% less than the original leg. When the market rebounds you stand to gain up to 15% per year. [Read more...]

Some Random Thoughts – Some Comical Sense

Had lunch today with a very experienced, savvy real estate professional today. He’s from Northern California, so knows much about cartoonishly high real estate prices. As we talked, he mentioned a client who’d bought a property, ‘a real mess’ for ‘just’ $750,000. I guess a starter home up his way is well north of seven figures. But the real eyeopener was his description of the fourplex he’d recently sold. About $1.3 Mil, or, to put it into cartoon prospective, 16 X the scheduled gross annual rents. And no, that’s not a misprint.

I’m workin’ on a post about that ‘investment’. Seriously, calling that an investment almost made me lose my lunch. If I was a standup comic, real estate investors going to NoCal with serious intent would provide me with endless material. They put almost 45% down so they could bathe in the monthly glory of a whole $500 in cash flow. They must feel proud. Sorry for the snarkiness, as I usually stop myself, but at some point sensible folk must draw the line in the sand.

I guess in NoCal, gettin’ a cash on cash return of .96% earns the investor braggin’ rights at the next neighborhood BBQ. Go figure. Don’t think it’s just those from the northern half of the state though. San Diegans are infamous for thinkin’ their real estate is blessed by the mythical real estate gods. [Read more...]

Minnesota Life: Fee’s and Risk (EIUL)

A reader suggested a post dealing with two of his concerns with purchasing a Life Insurance Policy. These concerns were the same as many of my clients had. So let’s discuss them.

His first concern was that the insurance company could “jack” up the fees once the policy was in place. There are limits put in place on the amount of fees insurance companies are allowed to charge and there are contractual limits. Now, first off I need to point out that with Minnesota Life they have never increased the fees associated with a life policy on policy owners since at least WWII. So, even though they could increase some of them, they never have [the exception is insurance charges]. The reason they haven’t is pretty simple, they manage their risk well and have never found themselves in the position of having to make up for poor reserve management by extracting more money from their policy owners.

There are several classifications of “fees.” [Read more...]

Equity Index Universal Life Insurance Is Not a Popular Financial Planning Vehicle

My mom always told me I liked to do things the hard way and by now I understand she was right! I could be selling mutual funds to folks and call it financial planning but nooooo, I need to be a little different and really help people get their retirement on the right track. But that means dealing with a lot of roadblocks both psychological and other.

Most people are happy to just go along with what everyone else is doing and hope it all works out well. So they let Wall Street and the government plan their retirement. How do you think that will work for them? Haven’t we seen exactly who Wall Street cares about? And the government, however well-meaning, would be the last folks I let plan my retirement. [Read more...]