Attention Real Estate Investors – Is Your Plan Really The Best Case Scenario?

As mentioned in yesterday’s post, while in Starbucks I met a local high school teacher, Rick, who was hunched over a buncha papers he was grading. We got to talkin’ and as one thing will led to another, real estate investing came up. (Yeah, I’m shocked too.) Turns out he owns a small local La Mesa, CA apartment building. I know exactly where it is — solid location. It’s well kept. He was raised in the biz by his dad, doing cleanup, repair and maintenance — against his will. :) Amen brother, we lived the same lives.

Breaking News: My old San Diego TC — Transaction Coordinator — just walked into Starbucks. Hadn’t seen Debbie in years. I’ve had TC’s since her, but none better, not even close. She was the real deal. So fun to run into her today.

OK, back to schlepping for Dad against our wills. :)

His units are now cash flowing about $5,000 monthly with $800,000 in debt. He says it’ll cash flow roughly twice that when the loan is paid off. He’s retiring in about 10 years. Oh, and for the record, the location of his units is such that I’d gladly have Mom live there alone. Just so ya know.

Ever heard the saying, “. . . like shootin’ fish in a barrel?”

Here’s what I’d advise him to do — while tellin’ him he should get the ball rollin’ sometime around 4:30 yesterday afternoon. [Read more...]

Real Estate Investors – Frog Legs and Simplicity

Buncha things goin’ on today, but I wanted to impart a segment of a stellar conversation today. It had to do with the differences between the real estate market (in general) the last 50+ years leading up to around 2006, and what it’s morphed into since then.

For the purposes of this short post there are two major differences.

• The significant trend up in values, regardless of cyclical price drops, are no longer in play. That half century proved reliable as it pertains to values that went higher than the previous peak when recovering from corrections — without exception. Sophisticated strategies often produced superb results. Knowing (or at least assuming) prices would continue onward and upward allowed for relative sophistication.

• Now? Pure vanilla in a plain bowl — not even chocolate sauce. Sophistication? Nowhere to be seen. It’s simply not required, nor would it be any more successful at the bottom line than the boring approach — in fact, it’d likely be worse. We’re back in Grandpa’s day. The sooner real estate investors accept this reality, the better their overall end game results will be.

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Your Real Estate Investment Strategy – Who’s In Control?

There are so many factors involved in any given real estate investment strategy. Some are factors, and some are FACTORS. Depending upon the exercise or purpose, we can then divide these factors into groups. Sometimes several. Today we’ll look at what the real estate investor can and cannot control. Then we’ll look at the uncontrollable factors and determine if a given plan may or may not be relying on it (them) for its ultimate success.

This is a crucially important discussion.

Factors under your control include, but aren’t limited to, leverage used; velocity of loan pay down; macro investment region; local location quality (upon purchase); exit strategy; tenant quality; pro management/management style; tactical use of cash flow; and many more.

Factors not under your control (again, a partial list), includes appreciation/depreciation of property value; rising/falling rents/NOI (net operating income); future interest rates; even the mere availability of borrowed money, and a bunch more.  [Read more...]

In Your Late 40′s And Wondering – How Long Will I Be Working?

Seems lately I’ve been talkin’ to a buncha folks in their mid-late 40′s and older. They’re wondering exactly how the heck the retirement they’ve been saving and investing for can possible happen. Many have still not fully recovered from the 2008 stock market plunge. What most of ‘em have in common is a degree of worry.

I’m here to tell you what I’ve told so many of these callers.

• It’s surprising how often folks are in better shape, with more options than they thought. Think: Answers to questions they never knew to ask.

• Like most of us, they become apprehensive when overwhelmed with what they sometimes perceive as a mountain to high to climb. There’s no mountain that high. There, I said it.

• Almost to a person, they had enough capital, assets, home equity, stocks, yo-yos, whatever, to make a respectable start, or begin to correct poor and/or uninformed decisions.

• They serious as a heart attack about retiring well, and before their kids are old enough to retire. :) I kid, but that’s what one of ‘em said she feared most — working till she simply couldn’t do it any longer.

If all this is hitting you between the eyes, please don’t feel like the Lone Ranger. You’re not — there are legions just like you. There is hope — not Kumbaya hope — but hope based in reality.

One thing ya gotta do first though. Ya gotta take that first step, whatever you decide that might be. Nothing happens without that initial action. It takes courage, more than some surmise.

Eat the elephant one bite at a time. It’s work, and it might take awhile, but it’s the kinda work that’ll get you outa work later on.

For lack of a better description, we’ll call that time of your life, retirement.

Call me at 619 889-7100 and we’ll work out a Purposeful Plan for your retirement together. Worst case? It’ll be better than where you may be headed now, right? Gimme a call, I need a fix. Have a good one.

Real Estate Investing For Retirement – The No-Brainer Rule

The No-Brainer rule became inviolate policy for my firm back in the early 1980s. It came as a result of my analytical skills having been improved significantly by highly advanced education, experience in the market, and plain old repetition. Do dozens of five year after tax cash flow analyses. Then utilize that data to generate both Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and it’s field leveling cousin, what we OldSchoolers still call Financial Management Rate of Return (FMRR). Do all that in less than six months, and as in anything else, you’ll get fairly adept at it.

The real value of deep, empirically documentable analysis.

As is true in most things in life, a decision between two or more options is preceded by the decision to modify or even abandon the status quo. Let that resonate awhile. Put differently, the first analysis better be whether or not messin’ with the status quo will be an obviously beneficial move. Want even plainer English? [Read more...]