The Scramble For The $$$$

Several of my clients have contacted me lately to ask my opinion on the “new” options for their 403b’s. These new options are annuity based investment plans, some straight variable annuities, while others have some limited down side protection [10% in the one I saw]. This is an ongoing pattern from companies trying to capitalize on the loss of confidence of Wall Street and it’s mutual funds, which have been heavily pushed for the last 30 years. We are still seeing outputs from mutual funds in general while equity mutual funds are the heaviest hit. Trying to capture those dollars is the name of the game for all financial companies now.

I have never been a big proponent of deferred annuities. Immediate annuities have a place for folks who want to assure themselves of a certain level of income for life. But deferred annuities in my opinion are more problematic. Variable annuities have the same problem as mutual funds with the big market downturns dramatically effecting outputs. But the biggest problem with deferred annuities is that they must be backed by short and immediate term products, which will give folks lower rates of return. The indexed annuities will always have much lower cap rates than the indexed life products for this reason. With an annuity the company must be prepared to give the money back at any time and therefore must use investing strategies that allow that type of liquidity. [Read more...]

The Paradox — Why San Diego and California In General Are Terrible Long Term Plays, But Sometimes Golden In the Short Run

So many of you who come here regularly know my professional opinion when it comes to investing in San Diego real estate long term — DON’T. Same goes for the rest of California and the west coast for that matter. Stayin’ away is your best approach.

Why?

The answer is simple, but multi-faceted. I’ll be brief. (Hey! I heard that snicker in the back.)

1. The vast majority of property out west is relatively older. In San Diego, anything built in the 80′s is called newer. :) If it makes sense to keep a property for the duration numbers wise, but it’s 40-100 at your retirement, your cash flow will suffer noticeably. [Read more...]

The Age Old Tug of War Between Schools of Thought – Long Term Real Estate Investing

BawldGuy Here: I first published this piece about six months ago. I was thinkin’ it was time to put it up top again. Hope it sheds some light for ya.

There are multiple schools of thought related to investing in real estate for retirement. Two dominate.

One says you buy property, holding it forever. When you’ve saved sufficient capital to buy additional property, you do — then hold IT for evermore too. The idea is you allow rental income to pay off debt as quickly as possible, arriving at the point of a debt free cash flow machine. Do this a buncha times and you’ve built the foundation for a nice retirement income stream.

Or so the doctrine goes.

The other school’s doctrine teaches cash flow comes from the yield on capital or equity in an asset. The bigger the capital amount or equity in the asset, the greater the income, measured in dollars. The ‘yield’ itself is expressed in terms of a percentage. For example, 7.5%. This commandment says that since the yield is equal, more or less, for a more substantial or less generous figure, why not arrive at retirement with the largest amount of capital and/or equity possible? [Read more...]

When Is Free and Clear Damaging – Even Sabotaging Your Retirement?

Several times a month a reader, or maybe a client referral will gimme a call and a great fix by asking if I could, “just tweak our plan a bit to make it perfect.” So many times they’re under the mistaken belief that owing to (Stellar pun, Jeff.) the fact they own a $300,000 income property debt free, their retirement plan is only subject to minor adjustments. Sometimes that’s the case, though in my experience rarely. The answer to my follow-up question dictates my advice.

How long till you retire?

The answer often falls in the 10-15 year range. Let’s construct a scenario that mirrors many of the callers’ circumstances. The facts will be as follows: [Read more...]

I’m In Texas – It’s Called Boots On the Ground

Sorry for the lack of posting, but my contributors are busy doin’ their jobs, and I’ve been wall to wall while simultaneously tryin’ to get outa Dodge. Meanwhile, I’m in Texas, specifically the Round Rock area of Austin. Hot. Tomorrow I’ll be a busy BawldGuy.

First off is a proposed project in the Austin area — give or take Round Rock. I’m jazzed cuz the rents in that part of Texas have been goin’ off the charts in the last year or so. Depending on the neighborhood, 10-15% increase and more, year over year. Frankly, rents are increasing all over Texas, but the rental markets in the Dallas/Fort Worth MetroPlex, Austin, and San Antonio stand out. Which, of course, is why I’m here. :) I’ll let you know what I saw, and my opinion of any projects worth talkin’ about.

Kinda sorta segue [Read more...]