Here We Go With Cap Rates Again – Real Estate Investors: Beware

Today’s post will be, at least for me, relatively brief. :) Just returned from speaking in Scottsdale, the freakin’ hottest place on earth, with Russell Shaw and Jay Thompson. Both of those guys are heavyweights in the biz. It was the best time on stage I’ve had in quite some time. But I be bushed and stuff.

Anywho, cap rates. (Capitalization Rate)

Plain English Definition: Arrived at by dividing the Net Operating Income (NOI) by the price paid, or contemplated. Example: NOI = $10,000 — Price = $125,000 — Cap Rate = $10,000/$125,000 = 8% Cap Rate.

Put another way — If the investor pays cash for this example, his cash on cash return, before tax, would be 8%.

This is all preamble to the false assumptions and/or pitfalls of chasing high cap rates. They don’t exist in a vacuum. A cap rate is merely another factor in a pretty full bag of factors — all of which have their own affect on your investment decision. Yet when I speak to investors countrywide, from time to time I get the feeling a property’s cap rate has been given far too much importance, relative to other elements in the decision making process.

Here’s the biggest snake in the woodpile.

Take a step back and try to find the common denominator running through most of the high cap rate properties you may have run across lately. If the numbers used to arrive at the rate in question are real (highly questionable 80% of the time, btw), you’ll notice the locations are, um, probably not of the highest quality. Let’s not be so ambiguous though, and define high quality location.

Over the years I’ve had to solve the communication problem arising when a member of my team in a region in which I’m doing business, tells me, “it’s a ‘great location’.” What the Aunt Fannie does that even mean? I solved it so that there’s virtually no misunderstanding about what the phrase ‘great location’ now means.

It means I’d put my 79 year old mom in it to live alone without battin’ an eye.

If someone figures a way to misunderstand that one, he’s no longer on my team. :) And yeah, it’s happened once.

Thing is, you’ll generally find that the higher the cap rate the worse the location. Think about it. The higher the cap rate is, the lower the price. If the location is so good, why is the price so relatively low as related to the income? Ya can’t have it both ways. Either it’s an excellent location or it ain’t. If it is, that cap rate just isn’t gonna be that high.

BawldGuy TakeAway: Cap rates aren’t the be all end all. They’re another tool of measurement. They’re also affected big time by their relative geographic location. Real estate investors who’re goin’ for cash flow should consciously resist being seduced by the many false assumptions underlying a high cap rate. Ask yourself: Would you put Mom in there to live alone?

Remember we want high quality tenants, stable rents, low and quick turnover. I’ll take a lower cap rate in that kinda neighborhood almost every time when compared to an inferior location offering a higher cap rate.

Those who chase high cap rates into the ambush of bad location and what naturally flows from those locations will suffer the consequences in increased expenses, more intense management, higher turnover, and slower rent up times.

Beware the high cap rate. It’s more likely than not they’re high due to either inferior location, or faulty numbers — or both.

Let’s talk about what you’re lookin’ to make happen. The first step is to gimme a call at 619 889-7100. Have a good one.

Related posts:

  1. 7 Expectations of Real Estate Investors – Beware of Potential
  2. The Real Facts About Capitalization Rates – Lipstick On a Pig
  3. Real Estate Investors — Beware A Deadly Virus — Subjectivity
  4. Tax Shelter — Real Estate Investors Should Beware the Professional Investor Trap
  5. Cap Rates & 50 Million Dollar Bills — What WOULD I Do?
About BawldGuy

I'm second generation real estate, first licensed in fall of 1969. Having been mentored by several iconic brokers, I'm also CCIM trained, having completed all 200 hours back in 1980. Have successfully executed well over 200 tax deferred exchanges, many of which have been multi-state in nature. Strong points are analysis and the creation and real world application of Purposeful Plans employing several strategies synergistically. The idea is to arrive at retirement with the most after tax income possible, backed by the largest net worth.

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Comments

  1. I was trying to explain this same topic to FTI (1st time investor). He didn’t understand the too good to be tru theory. I find this train of thought in people who chase foreclosed homes. They never examine or calculate the risk involved with buying these properties. The price is low for a reason. I’m not a wizard that magically found a house that noone knew about. If it’s on the MLS, it’s exposed to the market and the market will decide how much it’s worth. Just my take.

    Thanks for the great blog. I hope to provide video blogs with the same intensity that you provide this written blog.

  2. BawldGuy says:

    Hey Abraham — Welcome. I’ve seen your blog, and it’s pretty cool. You do videos well. You’re not as good as your son yet, but improving. :)

  3. Pat says:

    Foreclosed homes does not have to be bad locations.

    Be prepaided to act on the future foreclosures in good areas.

    The values will not be turn key. The values will have some warts.

  4. BawldGuy says:

    Excellent point, Pat. Do you think the well located foreclosed homes where we’d let our moms live alone with be bid up in price via multiple offers?

  5. Pat says:

    We are in crazy times. Some are scared to act with the fear prices will go lower. Some are waiting for greater discounts. Some want to act but can’t.

    There could be multiple offer where you would let mom live. Let you numbers speak and keep you from over paying. More are coming.

    Home buyers are on the sidelines. Investors with cash can buy properties banks will not lend against. FannieMae will not make repairs.

    Are you a shark, I smell blood in the water.

  6. Always good to get different perspectives. I deal a lot in wholesaling lower priced single family rentals. We don’t even look at the cap rate, just straight cash flow. Higher return, but potential for more headaches. There’s always a risk in relation to return!

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