How Can Real Estate Investors Make Money In A Local Down Market?

Been havin’ fun talkin’ with a veteran of the real estate income property wars the last week or so. He’s retired outa state now, but we still talk when the spirit moves him, and the fish ain’t bitin’. He’s more private than I am, which is sayin’ something. He’s also one of the smartest real estate guys I’ve met in person — ever. Jim and I met about eight years ago, shared office space, and have cracked each other up consistently since. He was also a real estate licensee. We’ve almost always arrived at the same solutions to challenges or interpretations of markets. That said, he would usually be waiting patiently for me to arrive where he’d been nearly instantly.

I’m a smart guy, but Jim’s unreal. How smart is he? He once took a job teaching in a small college. The subject was chemistry, something he hadn’t studied since high school. He just stayed a couple chapters ahead of his students and pulled it off for two semesters. They offered him a raise to stay! His intelligence literally dominated a room.

1957 T-Bird

He said he liked me ‘cuz though slow on the uptake, (always the comedian) I was able to get to the core of his ideas. One such idea was one for which I’d been using myself for quite awhile, which amused Jim no end. His amusement I suspect came from the delight with which I informed him of my prior knowledge and implementation. He’d refined it a bit, but we were in immediately agreement that when executed as designed, the results were tasty at worst, and incredible at best.

I’ll be writing about it in the next few days, so stay tuned.

Back to the recent post on rents. I’d asked a question about increased rents through solving functional obsolescence. I was to answer the question in yesterday’s comments section. Seems I was more beat than I thought, ‘cuz I fell asleep last night before answering. Go figure.

Anywho, here are my thoughts. The question was:

If you were eyein’ a fourplex, and your personal operation clipboard showed that $30,000 would raise the rents on each unit by $200 monthly, what would ya do? Well, it depends, you answer cagily. Fair enough. Let’s say you can buy it for the market capitalization rate of 6% in that area. Now would ya do it? Would ya?

The rent increase totals $9,600 annually. Though I didn’t impute a vacancy factor, let’s use 5% for giggles. Let’s further mess things up by also subtracting an arbitrary amount for operating expenses. And yeah, I realize the expenses won’t increase by virtue of these improvements. In fact, they could arguably decrease. Still, we’ll factor them in so when Andy Amateur applies whatever amount the latest ‘How To’ book says, we’ll be close. :) Let’s use 30% for operating expenses, which gets us to 35% total of vacancies and expenses.

'39 Lincoln Zephyr

That gives a Net Operating Income increase of $6,240 annually. When we apply the 6% cap rate, we get an increase in value of about $104,000 or so. (NOI/Cap Rate = Value) Not a bad payoff for a $30,000 investment.

So, uhm, yeah, I’d do it in a heartbeat.

How many heartbeats ’till it’s time for you to retire? Based upon your Plan, and its execution in the last 10 years, will you be retiring in more or less heartbeats than you’d hoped? Exactly. Give me a nudge, and let’s chat about those heartbeats, OK? Nothin’ like a superb Purposeful Plan to bring your retirement into closer focus. Have a spectacular weekend.

Related posts:

  1. Here We Come San Diego — Move It Or Lose It Local Real Estate Investors
  2. How Would The California Real Estate Investor Describe Their Local Market?
  3. How To Make Money In West Valley Real Estate In Phoenix
  4. Thoreau Still On The Money — Real Estate Investors? Stop Pretending
  5. How Does The Real Estate Investor Know When It’s Time To Make The Next Move?
About BawldGuy

I'm second generation real estate, first licensed in fall of 1969. Having been mentored by several iconic brokers, I'm also CCIM trained, having completed all 200 hours back in 1980. Have successfully executed well over 200 tax deferred exchanges, many of which have been multi-state in nature. Strong points are analysis and the creation and real world application of Purposeful Plans employing several strategies synergistically. The idea is to arrive at retirement with the most after tax income possible, backed by the largest net worth.

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Comments

  1. Joshua says:

    It’s not how many heartbeats to retirement I worry about. It’s that last heartbeat that worries me.

    Great explanation. It’s all making sense to me. However, maybe I missed something but I don’t think the title to this post directly matches the content though.

  2. BawldGuy says:

    Joshua — It doesn’t make until you go back and read this sentence:

    I’ll be writing about it in the next few days, so stay tuned.

  3. Joshua says:

    If this medium were like my radio your station is programmed into all 5 of my programmed buttons.

  4. Robert Coté says:

    I used a much rougher quick and dirty.

    How much would it cost to borrow $30k versus the $800/mo increase?
    $30k @ 8% & 15yr would cost $280/mo. At that point I didn’t even bother to calculate tax savings, repair deferral and the like on the plus side or vacancy rates, and such to the minus. Sure I’d have done all those when it came time to sign a loan or write the check but I already knew where the ball was landing. Double, triple, home run doesn’t matter. Time to swing.

  5. BawldGuy says:

    Robert — That’s the view from the cash flow side. It’s right on the money, pun intended. :)

    If the investor was lookin’ to make a ‘down and dirty’ profit, the significant NOI increase makes that possible.

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